Recent M&A Activity

Ansoft (ANST) was acquired by Ansys (ANSS) on 7/31/2008 for $832M at $16.25/share plus 0.431882 shares of ANSYS/share
EDS (EDS) was acquired by Hewlett Packard (HPQ) on 8/26/08 for $13.9 B at $25/share
Flomerics (FLO) was acquired by Mentor Graphics (MENT) on 10/9/08 for about $60 M. Mentor had owned about 29% of the company

Navteq (NAV) was acquired by NOKIA (NOK) on 7/10/2008 for $8.1B in cash at $78.00/share

MSC.Software (MSCS)MSC.Software was acquired by Sympony Technology Group (privately held) on 10/16/09 for $8.40//share, or about $340M
Electroglas, Inc. (EGLS)announced voluntary Chapter 11 Petition Filing on 7/10/09 with intent to sell the company
OCE NV (DE:OCE) was acquired by Canon in 2010
Sun Microsystems (JAVA) was acquired by Oracle in 2010
Tekla was acquired by Trimble in 2011
Vector took Gerber Scientific private in 2011
Infor acquired Lawson in 2011
Tekla was acquired by Trible in 2011
Magma was acquired by Synopsys in 2011

 

 
The Cyon Research Stock Index

The Cyon Research Stock Index has eight market sectors, shown with their respective percentages of the index:
   • 25% AEC Software
   • 40% MECH Software (see breakdown below)
   •  5% Channel and Services
   •  9% GIS and Geospatial Software
   •  9% Plant Software
   •  8% ECAD/EDA Software
   •  2% Hardware
   •  2% Other Hardware
 
Most of the value of the index is in industry sectors that Cyon Research covers: AEC, mechanical/manufacturing, GIS, Plant, ECAD, and the Channel. A small portion of the index is divided among other areas that allow us a direct compare: Hardware and Other Software companies.

With a tracking index for each of these submarkets, we are able to get a finely-tuned picture of what is happening.

The mechanical/manufacturing market consists of very diverse segments that may obscure important trends if we were to aggregate them without further detail. We’ve therefore broken the MECH section into segments to make sense of the movements within the industry. We should thus be able to differentiate between problems within a specific segment and issues that affect the entire industry. The breakdowns are:
   • 40% CAD – computer-aided design
   • 20% CAE – computer-aided engineering analysis
   • 15% CAM/visualization/mockup
   • 20% cPDM – collaborative product data management
   •  5% RP: Rapid prototyping and desktop manufacturing


The stocks for each market and segment are listed in the chart below. Along with the company are the stock symbol and market, weight (more on this later), current price, and holdings.

How It Works

The stocks for each market and segment are listed in the chart below. Along with the company are the stock symbol and market, weight (more on this later), current price, and holdings.

To create the index, EAR invested a fictitious $1,000,000, allocated among the markets according to the values listed above. The EAR Stock Index is set to the current value of all the holdings, divided by 10,000—a value of 100 at our start date of December 24, 2000.

Within each market, a weighting system is imposed, and investments are made based on those weights. Any virtual monies not invested are left in the fund as cash. For the purpose of the index, the cash does not accrue interest, nor are there any transaction fees imposed when buying or selling fictitious shares. 

Each stock within each market (and segment) is weighted to reflect the impact that company has on the market (or segment). At the end of each year, We re-examine the market and change the weights accordingly. The weights are highly subjective in nature and reflect the opinion of Cyon Research, the final arbiter of the weights. (The weights are totaled, and each stock is assigned a dollar value based on its percentage of the total weights for that market or segment.)

At the end of each year (on the last trading day before December 25th) the Index is re-evaluated. All stocks are “sold.” The total dollar amount is redistributed to each market and segment with the same proportions as the fund started with: 25% AEC, 40% MECH, and so on. The weights for each stock will be reappraised; the stocks will be “repurchased” based on the revised allocations. Going through this process each year will prevent the index from getting out of synch with its purpose.

From time to time, certain conditions may arise that call for mid-year corrections to the index.
1. Stocks that belong in the index may enter the market. To accommodate them, all stocks in that market or section will be “sold,” the new stock will be given an appropriate weight, and all the stocks in that section will then be “repurchased” based on the revised allocations. Weights for stocks then in the index will NOT be revised—that only happens at the year-end review.
2. Companies whose stocks are in the index may be target of mergers and acquisitions. In the case of a merger or acquisition by a public company, the stock will be replaced by the same dollar value of stock of the merged or acquiring company. If a stock is acquired by or merges with a private company, the value of the stock shall be added to the cash-on-hand for that sector.
3. Any dividends generated by the stocks held are ignored, except for exceptional events, in which case the value is added to the cash on hand for that sector.
4. The Cyon Research Stock Index is based on the US dollar. At each update, native currency values are converted into the equivalent US dollar amount at the the reported exchange rate at noon on that day. The exchange rates may cause fluctuations in price of non-US stocks, with attendant impact on the index.
5. Certian private companies play a major role in their sectors. For these companies we have set aside a dollar amount (determined by the company's weight in that sector) as a reserve. Should one of these companies go public or be aquired by a public company, shares will be allocated as the reserve amount allows.

The current Cyon Research Index was set on December 24, 2000 with an imaginary investment of $1,000,000 distributed in the eight market sectors. An initial index value of 100 was established by dividing the value of the investment by $10,000.  By comparison, the NASDAQ on that same date was 2517.02.  At the end of its seventh year, the Cyon Research Index reached 236 representing $2,360,749.58.  That’s not bad, particularly when you consider that the NASDAQ ended the same period at 2670.09, an index of 106.

In addition to adjusting the sectors, every year at this time we perform our annual market adjustment.  The adjustment is necessary to allow the index to follow its original purpose – tracking our industry.  Each sector experiences different growth rates (otherwise, we’d have no reason to track it), and after a period of time, the index becomes unbalanced; we end up with too much invested in one sector versus another.  This imbalance lessens the value of the index for understanding the movements within the industry.

A second level of imbalance occurs after a single stock experiences significant change in value relative to other stocks in the index.

To counter this, we periodically adjust and rebalance the index.  We do this by figuratively selling all holdings in the index and redistributing the resulting funds to each sector in their original percentages.  The funds within each sector are then redistributed among the stocks within the sector with the values weighted according to our view of the importance they hold to each market.  Some stocks are represented in multiple sectors.  For example, Autodesk is the predominant player in the AEC sector and also plays a significant but smaller role in the CAD software division of the MECH sector.

We also take this opportunity to make other adjustments, such as moving a stock that might be better placed in a different sector, deleting stocks that are no longer relevant (or that have been delisted), and adding new stocks to the index that might have been overlooked in the past or that are new to the market.  Each year, we add a designation, indicating funds that we have set aside for companies that we expect to go public within the next year.  We will convert that set-aside amount into shares of the stock 30 days after the stock is listed.  The delay is intended to allow the stock price to settle in order to get a better picture of the market value of the stock.  All of these adjustments are indicated in the table and detailed below.        

2012 Portfolio
Key:
► = New to the index
+ = New to this sector
c = Change due to an acquisition
m = Moved from another sector
$ = Funds held in reserve, allocated to purchase this companies stock if it goes public

Note: The table below shows the index at the beginning of the 2012 period (Dec 25, 2011 through Dec 24, 2012). The number of shares and share prices listed do not reflect any stock splits during the period.

Name Symbol Exchange Weight   Shares Price on 12/25/11 in local currency
             
AEC SOFTWARE     25%      
Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 13   4787 $ 30.81
Dassault Systemes FR:DSY Paris 1   162 52.96  €
DELTEK PROJ NASDAQ 2   2329 $ 9.74
Google GOOG NASDAQ 2   34 $ 633.14
Hexagon AB SE:HEXA-B Stockholm 6   4624 99 kr
Nemetschek NEM NYSE 5   1674 $ 25.80
Oracle Corporation ORCL NASDAQ 5   2176 $ 26.06
Sage Group PLC SGE London 1   2540 289.7 p
Trimble Navigation TRMB NASDAQ 5   1270 $ 44.63
Bentley (CASH RESERVE)     10   113486 $ 1.00
             
MECH SOFTWARE     40%      
             
CAD     40% of MECH SOFTWARE
Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 10   3021 $ 30.81
Dassault Systemes FR:DSY Paris 10   1338 52.96 €
Kubotek DE:603187 Frankfurt 1   29 236.20 €
Parametric Tech PMTC NASDAQ 8   3994 $ 18.64
Siemens SI NYSE 10   977 $ 95.18
             
CAE     20% of MECH SOFTWARE
Ansys ANSS NASDAQ 15   733 $ 57.95
Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 6   551 $ 30.81
Dassault Systemes FR:DSY Paris 10   407 52.96 €
ESI Group FR:ESI Paris 4   892 9.68 €
Mentor Graphics MENT NASDAQ 2   418 $ 13.53
MTS Systems Corporation MTSC NASDAQ 1   100 $ 40.47
Siemens SI NYSE 10   297 $ 95.18
Altair (CASH RESERVE)     8   22696 $ 1.00
MSC (CASH RESERVE)     8   22696 $ 1.00
             
CAM/RAVDA     15% of MECH SOFTWARE
Cimatron Ltd. CIMT NASDAQ 2   2679 $ 3.09
Dassault Systemes FR:DSY Paris 10   592 52.96 €
Delcam GB:53059 London 6   3029 530 p
ESI Group FR:ESI Paris 2   648 9.68 €
Parametric Technology PMTC NASDAQ 3   663 $ 18.65
Siemens SI NYSE 10   432 $ 95.18
             
cPDM     20% of MECH SOFTWARE
Dassault Systemes FR:DSY Paris 6   459 52.96 €
EMC EMC NYSE 1   243 $ 21.83
Oracle Corporation ORCL NASDAQ 6   1228 $ 26.06
PTC PMTC NASDAQ 10   2863 $ 18.65
SAP SAP NYSE 1   99 $ 53.25
Siemens SI NYSE 10   560 $ 95.18
             
RP     5% of MECH SOFTWARE
3D Systems Corporation DDD NYSE 10   1517 $ 14.95
Stratasys, Inc. SSYS NASDAQ 10   742 $ 30.52
             
CHANNEL and SERVICES     5%      
Avatech/RAND RWWI OTC BB 10   26545 $ 0.75
GSSL GEOMETRIC:NS NSE 3   5816 $ 46.25
HP HPQ NYSE 5   383 $ 25.88
IBM IBM NYSE 10   106 $ 184.75
Infosys INFY NASDAQ 4   154 $ 51.15
Mensch und Maschine DE:658080 Xetra 10   3416 4.44 €
Oracle Corporation ORCL NASDAQ 6   457 $ 26.06
Tata Consultancy TCS.NS NSE 4   309 Rs. 1157.15
TechData TECD NASDAQ 1   37 $ 51.51
Wipro WIT NYSE 4   781 $ 10.18
             
GIS SOFTWARE     9%      
Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 10   1249 $ 30.81
General Electric GE NYSE 1   210 $ 18.23
Google GOOG NASDAQ 8   47 $ 633.14
Hexagon AB SE:HEXA-B Stockholm 10   2617 99 kr
Hitachi HIT NYSE 1   72 $ 52.41
Nokia NOK NYSE 3   2349 $ 4.92
Trimble Navigation TRMB NASDAQ 8   689 $44.63
ESRI (CASH RESERVE)     10   38541 $ 1.00
Paradign Ltd (CASH RESERVE)     2   7707 $ 1.00
             
PLANT SOFTWARE     9%      
Aspen Technology Inc. AZPN NASDAQ 10   1888 $ 17.44
Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 10   1068 $ 30.81
Aveva AVV London 8   1165 1466 p
Dassault Systemes FR:DSY Paris 6   283 52.96 €
Hexagon AB SE:HEXA-B Stockholm 10   2237 99 kr
Invensys plc ISYS NASDAQ 1   1038 205.6 p
Parametric Technology PMTC NASDAQ 3   529 $ 18.65
Siemens SI NYSE 6   206 $ 95.18
Bentley (CASH RESERVE)     8   26357 $ 1.00
             
ECAD     8%      
Ansys ANSS NASDAQ 6   416 $ 57.95
Cadence Design CDNS NASDAQ 10   3834 $ 10.52
MEMSCAP FR:MEMS Paris 1   3072 1.00 €
Mentor Graphics MENT NASDAQ 9   2683 $ 13.53
MIPS Tech MIPS NASDAQ 3   2750 $ 4.40
PDF Solutions PDFS NASDAQ 3   1735 $ 6.97
Synopsys SNPS NASDAQ 12   1771 $ 27.32
Xilinx XLNX NASDAQ 1   123 $ 32.35
             
HARDWARE     2%      
Advanced Micro Devices AMD NYSE 10   891 $ 5.41
Apple AAPL NASDAQ 10   10 $ 403.33
Canon Inc. CAJ NYSE 2   20 $ 44.47
Cisco CSCO NASDAQ 2   51 $ 18.46
Dell DELL NASDAQ 12   387 $ 14.90
FARO Technologies, Inc. FARO NASDAQ 5   51 $ 45.57
Fujitsu Limited FJTSY Other OTC Issues 1   17 $ 25.65
Hewlett-Packard HPQ NYSE 14   260 $ 25.88
Hitachi HIT NYSE 1   8 $ 52.41
Immersion Corp IMMR NASDAQ 1   95 $ 5.03
Intel INTC NASDAQ 12   236 $ 24.40
Lenovo Group LNVGY Other OTC Issues 8   277 $ 13.89
Logitec International, SA LOGI NASDAQ 3   186 $ 7.74
Nvidia NVDA NASDAQ 10   339 $ 14.17
Ricoh RICOY OTC BB 1   10 $ 43.33
Silicon Graphics SGI NASDAQ 1   39 $ 11.78
Xerox XRX NYSE 1   57 $ 8.29
             
OTHER SOFTWARE     2%      
Adobe ADBE NASDAQ 3   113 $ 28.29
Ariba ARBA NASDAQ 4   144 $ 29.70
Computer Associates CA NASDAQ 2   104 $ 20.40
Microsoft MSFT NASDAQ 10   1070 $ 10.09
Orbotech Ltd Ord ORBK NASDAQ 1   102 $ 10.42
QAD QADB NASDAQ 1   24 $ 41.59
Red Hat RHT NYSE 2   86 $ 24.67
Salesforce.com CRM NYSE 2   21 $ 98.02
Software AG SOW Xetra 6   171 28.57 €
Solera SLH NYSE 1   22 $ 45.98
Symantec SYMC NASDAQ 5   341 $ 15.78
TIBCO TIBX NASDAQ 1   44 $ 23.79
Yahoo YHOO NASDAQ 4   266 $ 16.19
             

Cyon Research takes no responsibility for the accuracy or appropriateness of the Cyon Research Index. The index is put forth as a tool for analyzing the engineering software industry. We are not investment counselors. Our comments are not regulated by any government agency and we make no claims as to the predictive value of our comments. Anyone using the index as the basis of an investment strategy is a wholly unadvised risk and responsible for his/her own losses.

The Cyon Research Index Data and other Cyon Research intellectual property you access via the website may not be used as a basis for any financial instruments or products (including, without limitation, passively managed funds and index-linked derivative securities), or used to verify or correct data in any other compilation of data or index, or used to create any other data or index (custom or otherwise), without Cyon Research’s prior written permission.

 
AEC STOCKS

MECH STOCKS

 

CHANNEL STOCKS

 

GIS STOCKS

 

PLANT STOCKS

 

ECAD STOCKS

 

HARDWARE STOCKS

 

OTHER SOFTWARE STOCKS

 

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