Recent M&A Activity

Ansoft (ANST) was acquired by Ansys (ANSS) on 7/31/2008 for $832M at $16.25/share plus 0.431882 shares of ANSYS/share
EDS (EDS) was acquired by Hewlett Packard (HPQ) on 8/26/08 for $13.9 B at $25/share
Flomerics (FLO) was acquired by Mentor Graphics (MENT) on 10/9/08 for about $60 M. Mentor had owned about 29% of the company

Navteq (NAV) was acquired by NOKIA (NOK) on 7/10/2008 for $8.1B in cash at $78.00/share

MSC.Software (MSCS)MSC.Software was acquired by Sympony Technology Group (privately held) on 10/16/09 for $8.40//share, or about $340M
Electroglas, Inc. (EGLS)announced voluntary Chapter 11 Petition Filing on 7/10/09 with intent to sell the company
OCE NV (DE:OCE) is being acquired by Canon and is expected to close early in 2010
Sun Microsystems (JAVA) is being acquired by Oracle and the deal should close in 2010

 

The Cyon Research Stock Index

The Cyon Research Stock Index has eight market sectors, shown with their respective percentages of the index:
   • 25% AEC Software
   • 40% MECH Software (see breakdown below)
   •  5% Channel and Services
   •  9% GIS and Geospatial Software
   •  9% Plant Software
   •  8% ECAD/EDA Software
   •  2% Hardware
   •  2% Other Hardware
 
Most of the value of the index is in industry sectors that Cyon Research covers: AEC, mechanical/manufacturing, GIS, Plant, ECAD, and the Channel. A small portion of the index is divided among other areas that allow us a direct compare: Hardware and Other Software companies.

With a tracking index for each of these submarkets, we are able to get a finely-tuned picture of what is happening.

The mechanical/manufacturing market consists of very diverse segments that may obscure important trends if we were to aggregate them without further detail. We’ve therefore broken the MECH section into segments to make sense of the movements within the industry. We should thus be able to differentiate between problems within a specific segment and issues that affect the entire industry. The breakdowns are:
   • 40% CAD – computer-aided design
   • 20% CAE – computer-aided engineering analysis
   • 15% CAM/visualization/mockup
   • 20% cPDM – collaborative product data management
   •  5% RP: Rapid prototyping and desktop manufacturing


The stocks for each market and segment are listed in the chart below. Along with the company are the stock symbol and market, weight (more on this later), current price, and holdings.

How It Works

The stocks for each market and segment are listed in the chart below. Along with the company are the stock symbol and market, weight (more on this later), current price, and holdings.

To create the index, EAR invested a fictitious $1,000,000, allocated among the markets according to the values listed above. The EAR Stock Index is set to the current value of all the holdings, divided by 10,000—a value of 100 at our start date of December 24, 2000.

Within each market, a weighting system is imposed, and investments are made based on those weights. Any virtual monies not invested are left in the fund as cash. For the purpose of the index, the cash does not accrue interest, nor are there any transaction fees imposed when buying or selling fictitious shares. 

Each stock within each market (and segment) is weighted to reflect the impact that company has on the market (or segment). At the end of each year, We re-examine the market and change the weights accordingly. The weights are highly subjective in nature and reflect the opinion of Cyon Research, the final arbiter of the weights. (The weights are totaled, and each stock is assigned a dollar value based on its percentage of the total weights for that market or segment.)

At the end of each year (on the last trading day before December 25th) the Index is re-evaluated. All stocks are “sold.” The total dollar amount is redistributed to each market and segment with the same proportions as the fund started with: 25% AEC, 40% MECH, and so on. The weights for each stock will be reappraised; the stocks will be “repurchased” based on the revised allocations. Going through this process each year will prevent the index from getting out of synch with its purpose.

From time to time, certain conditions may arise that call for mid-year corrections to the index.
1. Stocks that belong in the index may enter the market. To accommodate them, all stocks in that market or section will be “sold,” the new stock will be given an appropriate weight, and all the stocks in that section will then be “repurchased” based on the revised allocations. Weights for stocks then in the index will NOT be revised—that only happens at the year-end review.
2. Companies whose stocks are in the index may be target of mergers and acquisitions. In the case of a merger or acquisition by a public company, the stock will be replaced by the same dollar value of stock of the merged or acquiring company. If a stock is acquired by or merges with a private company, the value of the stock shall be added to the cash-on-hand for that sector.
3. Any dividends generated by the stocks held are ignored, except for exceptional events, in which case the value is added to the cash on hand for that sector.
4. The Cyon Research Stock Index is based on the US dollar. At each update, native currency values are converted into the equivalent US dollar amount at the the reported exchange rate at noon on that day. The exchange rates may cause fluctuations in price of non-US stocks, with attendant impact on the index.
5. Certian private companies play a major role in their sectors. For these companies we have set aside a dollar amount (determined by the company's weight in that sector) as a reserve. Should one of these companies go public or be aquired by a public company, shares will be allocated as the reserve amount allows.

The current Cyon Research Index was set on December 24, 2000 with an imaginary investment of $1,000,000 distributed in the eight market sectors. An initial index value of 100 was established by dividing the value of the investment by $10,000.  By comparison, the NASDAQ on that same date was 2517.02.  At the end of its seventh year, the Cyon Research Index reached 236 representing $2,360,749.58.  That’s not bad, particularly when you consider that the NASDAQ ended the same period at 2670.09, an index of 106.

In addition to adjusting the sectors, every year at this time we perform our annual market adjustment.  The adjustment is necessary to allow the index to follow its original purpose – tracking our industry.  Each sector experiences different growth rates (otherwise, we’d have no reason to track it), and after a period of time, the index becomes unbalanced; we end up with too much invested in one sector versus another.  This imbalance lessens the value of the index for understanding the movements within the industry.

A second level of imbalance occurs after a single stock experiences significant change in value relative to other stocks in the index.

To counter this, we periodically adjust and rebalance the index.  We do this by figuratively selling all holdings in the index and redistributing the resulting funds to each sector in their original percentages.  The funds within each sector are then redistributed among the stocks within the sector with the values weighted according to our view of the importance they hold to each market.  Some stocks are represented in multiple sectors.  For example, Autodesk is the predominant player in the AEC sector and also plays a significant but smaller role in the CAD software division of the MECH sector.

We also take this opportunity to make other adjustments, such as moving a stock that might be better placed in a different sector, deleting stocks that are no longer relevant (or that have been delisted), and adding new stocks to the index that might have been overlooked in the past or that are new to the market.  Each year, we add a designation, indicating funds that we have set aside for companies that we expect to go public within the next year.  We will convert that set-aside amount into shares of the stock 30 days after the stock is listed.  The delay is intended to allow the stock price to settle in order to get a better picture of the market value of the stock.  All of these adjustments are indicated in the table and detailed below.        

2010 Portfolio
Key:
► = New to the index
+ = New to this sector
c = Change due to an acquisition
m = Moved from another sector
$ = Funds held in reserve, allocated to purchase this companies stock if it goes public

Note: The table below shows the index at the beginning of the 2010 period (Dec 25, 2009 through Dec 24, 2010). The number of shares and share prices listed do not reflect any stock splits during the period.

  Name Symbol Exchange Weight Shares  Price on
12/24/09
in local
currency 
 Market Cap
(millions)
in local currency 
 P/E
Ratio 
                 
  AEC SOFTWARE   25%        
  Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 13 5,494 $25.88 $5,856  --- 
  Dassault Systemes FR:dsy Paris 1 191 39.10 € 4,708 € 31.8
  DELTEK PROJ NASDAQ 2 2,693 8.12 $530 20.4
  Google GOOG NASDAQ 2 34 618.48 $196,752 40.0
  Nemetschek NEM Frankfurt 5 2,356 16.00 € 155 € 19.9
  Oracle ORCL NASDAQ 5 2191 $24.95 $124,729 21.8
  Sage Group PLC SGE LSE 1 3,063  224.0p £ 2,916 16.3
  Tekla DE:TKBA Frankfurt 3 3,586 6.31   €    --- 
  Trimble TRMB NASDAQ 1 422 $25.85 $3,062 46.1
$ Bentley (CASH RESERVE) 9 $98,456 $1.00    
               
  MECH SOFTWARE   40%        
               
  CAD     40% of MECH SOFTWARE
  Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 10 2,912 $25.88 $5,856  --- 
  Dassault Systemes FR:DSY Paris 10 1,328 39.10   € 4,708 € 31.8
  Kubotek DE:603187 Frankfurt 2 52 193.19 € 27 €  --- 
  PTC PMTC NASDAQ 8 3,578 $16.85 $1,952 62.5
  Siemens SI NYSE 9 738 $91.81 $79,746 25.1
         
  CAE     20% of MECH SOFTWARE
  Ansys ANSS NASDAQ 15 838 $43.77 $3,873 36.3
  Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 6 567 $25.88 $5,856  --- 
  Dassault Systemes FR:DSY Paris 10 431 39.10 € 4,708 € 31.8
  ESI Group FR:ESI Paris 4 659 10.24 € 55 € 24.9
  Mentor Graphics MENT NASDAQ 2 531 $9.20 $894  --- 
  MTS Systems MTSC NASDAQ 1 100 $28.63 $480 27.6
  Siemens SI NYSE 8 212 $91.81 $79,746 25.1
$ Altair (CASH RESERVE) 6 $14,701 $1.00    
►$ MSC (CASH RESERVE) 8 $19,602 $1.00    
         
  CAM/RAVDA     15% of MECH SOFTWARE
  Cimatron Ltd. CIMT NASDAQ 2 5,388 $1.24 $11 67.1
  Dassault Systemes FR:dsyDSY Paris 10 588 39.10 € 4,708 € 31.8
  Delcam GB:53059 LSE 6 6,449  195.0p £ 16 20.4
  ESI Group FR:ESI Paris 2 449 10.24 € 55 € 24.9
  PTC PMTC NASDAQ 3 593 $16.85 $1,952 62.5
  Siemens SI NYSE 10 362 $91.81 $79,746 25.1
         
  cPDM     20% of MECH SOFTWARE
  Dassault Systemes FR:dsy Paris 6 443 39.10 € 4,708 € 31.8
  EMC EMC NYSE 1 234 $17.85 $35,962 35.6
  Oracle ORCL NASDAQ 8 1345 $24.95 $124,729 21.8
  PTC PMTC NASDAQ 9 2,242 $16.85 $1,952 62.5
  SAP SAP NYSE 1 100 $46.86 $56,287 20.1
  Siemens SI NYSE 10 456 $91.81 $79,746 25.1
         
  RP     5% of MECH SOFTWARE
  3D Systems TDSC NASDAQ 10 1,568 $11.71 $253  --- 
  Stratasys SSYS NASDAQ 10 1,059 $17.33 $356 95.2
             
  CHANNEL and SERVICES 5%        
  Avatech AVSO OTC BB 8 24,333 $0.57 $10  --- 
  GSSL GEOMETRIC:NS NSE 3 3,585 Rs. 67.55    
  HP HPQ NYSE 5 162 $52.87 $124,663 16.8
  IBM IBM NYSE 10 131 $130.57 $173,435 13.6
  Infosys INFY NASDAQ 4 122 $55.99 $31,684 24.7
  Mensch und Maschine DE:658080 Xetra 8 2,821 3.39 € 49 € 95.7
  Oracle ORCL NASDAQ 6 415 $24.95 $124,729 21.8
  Tata Consultancy TCS.NS NSE 4 430 Rs. 749.30    
  TechData TECD NASDAQ 1 35 $47.31 $2,403 14.1
  Wipro WIT NYSE 4 305 $22.65 $32,772 38.7
                 
  GIS SOFTWARE     9%        
  Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 10 1,252 $25.88 $5,856  --- 
  Eastman Kodak EK NYSE 1 760 $4.26 $1,145  --- 
  General Electric GE NYSE 1 209 $15.44 $162,747 13.8
  Google GOOG NASDAQ 8 40 $618.48 $196,752 40.0
  Hitachi HIT NYSE 1 107 $29.84 $10,242  --- 
  Nokia NOK NYSE 3 760 $12.78 $47,606 63.6
  Trimble TRMB NASDAQ 8 1,002 $25.85 $3,062 46.1
$ ESRI (CASH RESERVE) 10 $32,432 $1.00    
$ Intergraph (CASH RESERVE) 7 $22,702 $1.00    
$ Paradign Ltd (CASH RESERVE) 2 $6,485 $1.00    
               
  PLANT SOFTWARE   9%        
  Aspen Technology AZPN NASDAQ 10 2,707 $9.85 $896 46.0
  Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 10 1,029 $25.88 $5,856  --- 
  Aveva AVV LSE 8 1,364  980.5p £ 680 15.8
  Dassault Systemes FR:DSY Paris 6 281 39.10 € 4,708 € 31.8
  Invensys plc ISYS NASDAQ 1 567 294.6p £ 2,390 16.7
  PTC PMTC NASDAQ 3 473 $16.85 $1,952 62.5
  Siemens SI NYSE 6 173 $91.81 $79,746 25.1
$ Bentley (CASH RESERVE) 8 $ 21,342 $1.00    
$ Intergraph (CASH RESERVE) 10 $ 26,677 $1.00    
                 
  ECAD     8%        
  Ansys ANSS NASDAQ 6 402 $43.77 $3,873 36.3
  Cadence Design CDNS NASDAQ 10 4883 $6.02 $1,623  --- 
  Magma LAVA NASDAQ 5 6176 $2.38 $114  --- 
  MEMSCAP FR:MEMS Paris 1 1028 1.97 € 10 €  --- 
  Mentor Graphics MENT NASDAQ 8 2556 $9.20 $894  --- 
  MIPS Tech MIPS NASDAQ 3 2104 $4.19 $198 29.8
  PDF Solutions PDFS NASDAQ 3 2260 $3.90 $105  --- 
  Synopsys SNPS NASDAQ 10 1323 $22.20 $3,299 19.3
  Virage Logic VIRL NASDAQ 3 1663 $5.30 $141  --- 
  Xilinx XLNX NASDAQ 1 114 $25.36 $6,960 22.1
                 
  HARDWARE     2%        
  Advanced Micro Devices AMD NYSE 10 397 $9.91 $6,482  --- 
  Apple AAPL NASDAQ 10 17 $209.04 $189,628 33.3
  Canon Inc. CAJ NYSE 2 17 $43.84 $52,478 59.6
  Cisco CSCO NASDAQ 2 31 $23.96 $138,468 24.6
  Dell DELL NASDAQ 12 319 $14.79 $28,616 19.3
  Eastman Kodak EK NYSE 1 91 $4.26 $1,145  --- 
  FARO Technologies FARO NASDAQ 5 89 $21.75 $348  --- 
  Fujitsu FJTSY OTC 1 10 $33.05 $13,482  --- 
  Hewlett-Packard HPQ NYSE 14 103 $52.87 $124,663 16.8
  Hitachi HIT NYSE 1 12 $29.84 $10,242  --- 
  Immersion Corp IMMR NASDAQ 1 86 $4.53 $126  --- 
  Intel INTC NASDAQ 12 232 $20.33 $113,063 49.4
  Lenovo Group LNVGY Pink 8 259 $12.15 $5,789  --- 
  Logitec International LOGI NASDAQ 3 66 $17.49 $3,020  --- 
  Nvidia NVDA NASDAQ 8 173 $18.09 $10,321  --- 
  Ricoh RICOY OTC BB 1 4 $71.75 $10,377  --- 
  Silicon Graphics SGIC NASDAQ 1 53 $7.23 $218  --- 
  Xerox XRX NYSE 1 44 $8.65 $7,432 24.4
                 
  OTHER SOFTWARE     2%        
m Adobe ADBE NASDAQ 3 62 $37.17 $19,489 51.0
  Ariba ARBA NASDAQ 4 250 $12.45 $1,126 136.8
  Computer Associates CA NYSE 2 66 $23.21 $11,796 17.4
  Corel CREL NASDAQ 2 392 $3.97 $102  --- 
  Gerber Scientific GRB NYSE 1 155 $5.01 $127  --- 
  Lawson LWSN NASDAQ 1 114 $6.79 $1,365 40.7
  Microsoft MSFT NASDAQ 10 251 $31.00 $274,455 20.4
  Orbotech Ltd ORBK NASDAQ 1 82 $9.37 $322  --- 
  QAD QADI NYSE 1 128 $6.06 $190  --- 
  Red Hat RHT NASDAQ 2 48 $31.36 $5,853 75.2
  ROVI (Macrovision) ROVI NASDAQ 1 23 $31.58 $3,279  --- 
  Salesforce.com CRM NYSE 2 20 $72.66 $9,181 127.4
  Software AG SOW Xetra 6 41 77.00 € 2,192 € 17.9
  Solera SLH NYSE 1 20 $36.80 $2,558 40.3
  Symantec SYMC NASDAQ 6 259 $18.03 $14,639  --- 
  TIBCO TIBX NASDAQ 1 79 $9.71 $1,644 27.0
  Yahoo YHOO NASDAQ 3 139 $16.72 $23,734 176.4
                 
Cyon Research takes no responsibility for the accuracy or appropriateness of the Cyon Research Index. The index is put forth as a tool for analyzing the engineering software industry. We are not investment counselors. Our comments are not regulated by any government agency and we make no claims as to the predictive value of our comments. Anyone using the index as the basis of an investment strategy is a wholly unadvised risk and responsible for his/her own losses.

The Cyon Research Index Data and other Cyon Research intellectual property you access via the website may not be used as a basis for any financial instruments or products (including, without limitation, passively managed funds and index-linked derivative securities), or used to verify or correct data in any other compilation of data or index, or used to create any other data or index (custom or otherwise), without Cyon Research’s prior written permission.

AEC STOCKS

MECH STOCKS

 

CHANNEL STOCKS

 

GIS STOCKS

 

PLANT STOCKS

 

ECAD STOCKS

 

HARDWARE STOCKS

 

OTHER SOFTWARE STOCKS

 

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