Recent M&A Activity

Ansoft (ANST) was acquired by Ansys (ANSS) on 7/31/2008 for $832M at $16.25/share plus 0.431882 shares of ANSYS/share

Moldflow (MFLO) was acquired by Autodesk (ADSK) on 06/26/2008 for $297M at $22.00/share

Navteq (NAV) was acquired by NOKIA (NOK) on 7/10/2008 for $8.1B in cash at $78.00/share

Synplicity (SYNP) was acquired by Synopsis (SNYP) on 5/16/2008 for $223M at $8.00/share

The Cyon Research Stock Index

The Cyon Research Stock Index has eight market sectors, shown with their respective percentages of the index:
   • 25% AEC Software
   • 40% MECH Software (see breakdown below)
   •  3% Channel and Services
   • 10% GIS and Geospatial Software
   •  8% Plant Software
   •  8% ECAD/EDA Software
   •  3% Hardware
   •  3% Other Hardware
 
Most of the value of the index is in industry sectors that Cyon Research covers: AEC, mechanical/manufacturing, GIS, Plant, ECAD, and the Channel. A small portion of the index is divided among other areas that allow us a direct compare: Hardware and Other Software companies.

With a tracking index for each of these submarkets, we are able to get a finely-tuned picture of what is happening.

The mechanical/manufacturing market consists of very diverse segments that may obscure important trends if we were to aggregate them without further detail. We’ve therefore broken the MECH section into segments to make sense of the movements within the industry. We should thus be able to differentiate between problems within a specific segment and issues that affect the entire industry. The breakdowns are:
   • 40% CAD – computer-aided design
   • 20% CAE – computer-aided engineering analysis
   • 15% CAM/visualization/mockup
   • 20% cPDM – collaborative product data management
   •  5% RP: Rapid prototyping and desktop manufacturing


The stocks for each market and segment are listed in the chart below. Along with the company are the stock symbol and market, weight (more on this later), current price, and holdings.

How It Works

The stocks for each market and segment are listed in the chart below. Along with the company are the stock symbol and market, weight (more on this later), current price, and holdings.

To create the index, EAR invested a fictitious $1,000,000, allocated among the markets according to the values listed above. The EAR Stock Index is set to the current value of all the holdings, divided by 10,000—a value of 100 at our start date of December 24, 2000.

Within each market, a weighting system is imposed, and investments are made based on those weights. Any virtual monies not invested are left in the fund as cash. For the purpose of the index, the cash does not accrue interest, nor are there any transaction fees imposed when buying or selling fictitious shares. 

Each stock within each market (and segment) is weighted to reflect the impact that company has on the market (or segment). At the end of each year, We re-examine the market and change the weights accordingly. The weights are highly subjective in nature and reflect the opinion of Cyon Research, the final arbiter of the weights. (The weights are totaled, and each stock is assigned a dollar value based on its percentage of the total weights for that market or segment.)

At the end of each year (on the last trading day before December 25th) the Index is re-evaluated. All stocks are “sold.” The total dollar amount is redistributed to each market and segment with the same proportions as the fund started with: 25% AEC, 40% MECH, and so on. The weights for each stock will be reappraised; the stocks will be “repurchased” based on the revised allocations. Going through this process each year will prevent the index from getting out of synch with its purpose.

From time to time, certain conditions may arise that call for mid-year corrections to the index.
1. Stocks that belong in the index may enter the market. To accommodate them, all stocks in that market or section will be “sold,” the new stock will be given an appropriate weight, and all the stocks in that section will then be “repurchased” based on the revised allocations. Weights for stocks then in the index will NOT be revised—that only happens at the year-end review.
2. Companies whose stocks are in the index may be target of mergers and acquisitions. In the case of a merger or acquisition by a public company, the stock will be replaced by the same dollar value of stock of the merged or acquiring company. If a stock is acquired by or merges with a private company, the value of the stock shall be added to the cash-on-hand for that sector.
3. Any dividends generated by the stocks held are ignored, except for exceptional events, in which case the value is added to the cash on hand for that sector.
4. The Cyon Research Stock Index is based on the US dollar. At each update, native currency values are converted into the equivalent US dollar amount at the the reported exchange rate at noon on that day. The exchange rates may cause fluctuations in price of non-US stocks, with attendant impact on the index.
5. Certian private companies play a major role in their sectors. For these companies we have set aside a dollar amount (determined by the company's weight in that sector) as a reserve. Should one of these companies go public or be aquired by a public company, shares will be allocated as the reserve amount allows.

The current Cyon Research Index was set on December 24, 2000 with an imaginary investment of $1,000,000 distributed in the eight market sectors. An initial index value of 100 was established by dividing the value of the investment by $10,000.  By comparison, the NASDAQ on that same date was 2517.02.  At the end of its seventh year, the Cyon Research Index reached 236 representing $2,360,749.58.  That’s not bad, particularly when you consider that the NASDAQ ended the same period at 2670.09, an index of 106.

In addition to adjusting the sectors, every year at this time we perform our annual market adjustment.  The adjustment is necessary to allow the index to follow its original purpose – tracking our industry.  Each sector experiences different growth rates (otherwise, we’d have no reason to track it), and after a period of time, the index becomes unbalanced; we end up with too much invested in one sector versus another.  This imbalance lessens the value of the index for understanding the movements within the industry.

A second level of imbalance occurs after a single stock experiences significant change in value relative to other stocks in the index.

To counter this, we periodically adjust and rebalance the index.  We do this by figuratively selling all holdings in the index and redistributing the resulting funds to each sector in their original percentages.  The funds within each sector are then redistributed among the stocks within the sector with the values weighted according to our view of the importance they hold to each market.  Some stocks are represented in multiple sectors.  For example, Autodesk is the predominant player in the AEC sector and also plays a significant but smaller role in the CAD software division of the MECH sector.

We also take this opportunity to make other adjustments, such as moving a stock that might be better placed in a different sector, deleting stocks that are no longer relevant (or that have been delisted), and adding new stocks to the index that might have been overlooked in the past or that are new to the market.  Each year, we add a designation, indicating funds that we have set aside for companies that we expect to go public within the next year.  We will convert that set-aside amount into shares of the stock 30 days after the stock is listed.  The delay is intended to allow the stock price to settle in order to get a better picture of the market value of the stock.  All of these adjustments are indicated in the table and detailed below.        

2008 Portfolio
Key:
► = New to the index
+ = New to this sector
c = Change due to an acquisition
m = Moved from another sector
$ = Funds held in reserve, allocated to purchase this companies stock if it goes public
  Name Symbol Exchange Weight Shares  Price on
12/26/07
in local
currency 
 Market Cap
(millions) 
P/E
Ratio
 
  AEC SOFTWARE     25%          
  Adobe ADBE NASDAQ 1 429 $42.81 $24,518 35.4  
  Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 10 3,686 $50.02 $11,490 34.3  
DELTEK PROJ NASDAQ 2 2,324 $15.86 $655 28.9  
  Google GOOG NASDAQ 2 51 $699.25 $216,323 55.0  
  Nemetschek DE:NEM Frankfurt 4 2,360 € 21.55      
  Sage Group PLC SGE LSE 1 4,046  229.8p      
Tekla DE:TKBA Frankfurt 3 3,179 € 12.00      
  Trimble Navigation TRMB NASDAQ 1 596 $30.88 $3,668 32.6  
$ Bentley (CASH RESERVE)     8  $147,545        
                   
  MECH SOFTWARE     40%          
           
  CAD     40% of MECH SOFTWARE  
  Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 10 2,096 $50.02 $11,490 34.3  
  Dassault Systemes DASTY NASDAQ 9 1,582 $59.65 $6,894 26.8  
  Kubotek DE:603187 Frankfurt 2 43 € 325.00 € 45    
  Parametric Tech PMTC NASDAQ 7 4,050 $18.13 $2,069 14.8  
Siemens SI NYSE 8 528 $158.48 $143,859 26.8  
           
  CAE     20% of MECH SOFTWARE  
  Ansoft Acquired by Ansys (ANSS) on 7/31/2008 for $832M at $16.25/share plus 0.431882 shares of ANSYS/share  
  Ansys ANSS NASDAQ 12 1,094 $41.36 $3,246 52.0  
  Dassault Systemes DASTY NASDAQ 8 505 $59.65 $6,894 26.8  
  ESI Group FR:ESI Paris 3 867 € 9.00 € 53 22.6  
  Flomerics FLO LSE 1 3,607  52.8p      
  MoldFlow Acquired by Autodesk (ADSK) on 06/26/2008 for $297M at $22.00/share  
  MSC.Software MSCS NASDAQ 8 2,316 $13.04 $579.45 94.9  
  MTS Systems Corporation MTSC NASDAQ 1 100 $44.20 $755 18.9  
c Siemens SI NYSE 6 142 $158.48 $143,859 26.8  
           
  CAM/RAVDA     15% of MECH SOFTWARE  
  Adobe ADBE NASDAQ 1 99 $42.81 $24,518 35.4  
  Cimatron Ltd. CIMT NASDAQ 2 3,120 $2.75 $22 13.7  
  Dassault Systemes DASTY NASDAQ 10 718 $59.65 $6,894 26.8  
  Delcam GB:53059 LSE 5 4,705  230.0p      
  ESI Group FR:ESI Paris 2 656 € 9.00 € 53 22.6  
  Parametric Technology PMTC NASDAQ 3 709 $18.13 $2,069 14.8  
c Siemens SI NYSE 10 269 $158.48 $143,859 26.8  
           
  cPDM     20% of MECH SOFTWARE  
  Dassault Systemes DASTY NASDAQ 7 614 $59.65 $6,894 26.8  
  EMC EMC NYSE 1 285 $18.31 $38,880 25.9  
c Oracle Corporation ORCL NASDAQ 8 1,822 $23.01 $115,984 25.1  
  PTC PMTC NASDAQ 9 2,603 $18.13 $2,069 14.8  
  SAP SAP NYSE 1 100 $51.67 $61,456 21.7  
c Siemens SI NYSE 10 330 $158.48 $143,859 26.8  
           
  RP     5% of MECH SOFTWARE  
  3D Systems Corporation TDSC NASDAQ 10 1,520 $15.52 $342 ---  
  Stratasys, Inc. SSYS NASDAQ 10 862 $27.34 $543 42.8  
                   
                   
  CHANNEL and SERVICES     3%          
  Avatech AVSO OTC BB 8 21,411 $0.90 $15 0.0  
  EDS EDS NYSE 4 460 $20.89 $10,616 14.9  
GSSL GEOMETRIC:NS NSE 3 3,241 Rs. 87.70      
  IBM IBM NYSE 10 219 $109.41 $148,957 16.6  
Infosys INFY NASDAQ 3 153 $46.64 $25,910 25.7  
  Mensch und Maschine DE:658080 Xetra 8 2,240 € 5.93 € 76    
  Oracle Corporation ORCL NASDAQ 6 627 $23.01 $115,984 25.1  
Tata Consultancy TCS.NS NSE 3 257 Rs. 1,099.20      
  TechData TECD NASDAQ 1 62 $37.82 $2,092 22.3  
Wipro Wit NYSE 3 458 $15.74 $21,537 27.8  
                   
  GIS SOFTWARE     10%          
  Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 10 739 $50.02 $11,490 34.3  
  Eastman Kodak EK NYSE 1 169 $21.76 $6,298 ---  
  General Electric GE NYSE 1 100 $37.13 $374,637 17.3  
  Google GOOG NASDAQ 8 41 $699.25 $216,323 55.0  
  Hitachi HIT NYSE 1 49 $73.40 $24,316 85.8  
  Navtech Acquired by NOKIA (NOK) on 7/10/2008 for $8.1B in cash at $78.00/share  
  Trimble Navigation TRMB NASDAQ 8 958 $30.88 $3,668 32.6  
$ ESRI (CASH RESERVE)     10  $ 37,030        
$ Intergraph (CASH RESERVE)     7  $ 25,920        
$ Paradigm (CASH RESERVE)     2  $ 7,405        
                   
  PLANT SOFTWARE     8%          
  Aspen Technology Inc. AZPN NASDAQ 10 1,917 $16.41 $1,429 71.4  
  Autodesk ADSK NASDAQ 7 439 $50.02 $11,490 34.3  
  Aveva AVV LSE 8 1,310  968.6p      
  Dassault Systemes DASTY NASDAQ 5 262 $59.65 $6,894 26.8  
  E.ON EON LSE 2 32  9,408.1p      
  Invensys plc ISYS NASDAQ 1 706  224.3p £218    
  Parametric Technology PMTC NASDAQ 4 693 $18.13 $2,069 14.8  
c Siemens SI NYSE 5 100 $158.48 $143,859 26.8  
$ Bentley (CASH RESERVE)     8  $ 25,180        
$ Intergraph (CASH RESERVE)     10  $ 31,475        
                   
  ECAD     8%          
  Ansoft ANST NASDAQ 6 832 $26.13 $605 29.5  
  Cadence Design CDNS NASDAQ 10 2137 $16.98 $4,572 22.7  
  Electroglas Inc. EGLS NASDAQ 1 2016 $1.80 $44    
  Magma LAVA NASDAQ 5 1479 $12.27 $505    
  MEMSCAP FR:MEMS Paris 1 191 € 13.00 € 70    
  Mentor Graphics MENT NASDAQ 8 2664 $10.90 $967    
  MIPS Tech MIPS NASDAQ 3 2200 $4.95 $218    
  PDF Solutions PDFS NASDAQ 3 1150 $9.46 $253    
  Synopsys SNPS NASDAQ 9 1263 $25.85 $3,809 29.7  
  Synplicity Acquired by Synopsis (SNYP) on 5/16/2008 for $223M at $8.00/share  
  Virage Logic VIRL NASDAQ 3 1288 $8.45 $196    
  Xilinx XLNX NASDAQ 1 164 $21.91 $6,430 20.0  
                   
  HARDWARE     3%          
  Advanced Micro Devices AMD NYSE 8 848 $7.41 $4,159    
  Apple AAPL NASDAQ 10 38 $198.76 $173,427 50.8  
  Canon Inc. CAJ NYSE 2 33 $46.27 $58,166 14.1  
  Cisco CSCO NASDAQ 2 56 $27.35 $164,232 21.8  
  Dell DELL NASDAQ 10 315 $24.88 $54,927 18.8  
  Eastman Kodak EK NYSE 1 35 $21.76 $6,298    
  FARO Technologies, Inc. FARO NASDAQ 5 139 $28.00 $451 31.2  
  Fujitsu Limited FJTSY OTC 1 22 $33.50 $13,656    
  Hewlett-Packard HPQ NYSE 12 182 $51.42 $129,929 19.1  
  Hitachi HIT NYSE 1 9 $73.40 $24,316 85.8  
  Immersion Corp IMMR NASDAQ 1 60 $12.81 $390 3.2  
  Intel INTC NASDAQ 10 292 $26.79 $155,881 25.5  
  Lenovo Group LNVGY Pink 5 218 $17.90 $7,972 28.1  
  Logitec International, SA LOGI NASDAQ 3 62 $36.95 $6,653 37.7  
  Nvidia NVDA NASDAQ 10 226 $34.58 $18,901 29.9  
  Oce DE:OCE Xetra 3 130 € 12.41 € 1,083 16.4  
  Ricoh RICOY OTC BB 1 7 $90.70 $13,319 13.7  
Silicon Graphics SGIC NASDAQ 1 40 $18.90 $203    
  Sun Microsystems Java NASDAQ 3 128 $18.29 $15,022 26.7  
  Xerox XRX NYSE 1 47 $16.22 $14,966 16.2  
                   
  OTHER SOFTWARE     3%          
  Ariba ARBA NASDAQ 4 563 $11.16 $897    
  Computer Associates CA NYSE 3 183 $25.62 $12,864 46.5  
Corel CREL NASDAQ 2 310 $10.10 $270    
  Gerber Scientific GRB NYSE 1 141 $11.06 $253 19.6  
Lawson LWSN NASDAQ 1 148 $10.55 $1,825 3872.2  
Macrovision MVSN NASDAQ 1 82 $18.86 $983 25.8  
  Microsoft MSFT NASDAQ 10 438 $35.84 $333,054 23.7  
  Orbotech Ltd Ord ORBK NASDAQ 1 89 $17.41 $581 49.1  
QAD QADI NASDAQ 1 159 $9.81 $292 74.4  
Red Hat RHT NYSE 2 147 $21.15 $4,040 59.3  
Salesforce.com CRM NYSE 2 48 $63.87 $7,404 682.3  
  Software AG SOW Xetra 6 106 € 60.57      
Solera SLH NYSE 1 62 $24.95 $1,605    
  Symantec SYMC NASDAQ 6 579 $16.27 $13,998 45.6  
TIBCO TIBX NASDAQ 1 194 $8.04 $1,538 31.2  
Yahoo YHOO NASDAQ 3 196 $23.96 $31,086 45.9  
                   
                   
Cyon Research takes no responsibility for the accuracy or appropriateness of the Cyon Research Index. The index is put forth as a tool for analyzing the engineering software industry. We are not investment counselors. Our comments are not regulated by any government agency and we make no claims as to the predictive value of our comments. Anyone using the index as the basis of an investment strategy is a fool and responsible for his/her own losses.
AEC STOCKS
MECH STOCKS

 

CHANNEL STOCKS
 
GIS STOCKS

 

PLANT STOCKS

 

ECAD STOCKS

 

HARDWARE STOCKS
 
OTHER SOFTWARE STOCKS
 
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